RE: Werewolf XXV: Party in Kanto! - Day 4, hope you're hungry!
Chaos Jackal said:
Also, TT, if Lenny is lying he is 100% getting lynched tomorrow. Try something else.
What would be interesting is whether or not Lenny is an indie... but we can bother with that after we deal with TT. Worst case scenario (but also quite a possible one) we lynch both Lenny and MTC in the next two days. That way we might be sacrificing two townies, but we still have the advantage, no second thoughts about people we believe to be confotown being scum and a bomb that will blow away the last scum member, unless they've got some sort of defense against it.
Yes, that would be interesting but there is no evidence to suggest that I'm an indie. This is purely a hypothetical scenario with no evidence behind it.
Also, if you lynch me and I flip town, you will not have to lynch MtC so there should never be a scenario where two townies are sacrificed. Sacrificing two days and two townies (which includes another 2 nightkills and whatever other shenanigans happens at night) is not something so easily dismissed. I don't see why you would be so happy having 2 townies lynched. We wouldn't be losing, but we'd be significantly worse off.
Let's go through today's events assuming I'm scum. I conjure up a ridiculous plan with my scum buddies to out one of our own to gain the trust of the town. I provide enough information so that it can then be used against me (knowing MtC's role) so that there now becomes a connection between me and TT. There is zero benefit for TT to reveal this potential connection if we were scum buddies. This literally just puts a target on my back, which is exactly what TT wants because I'm not scum. TT then continues to play a big reverse psychology game with the town to try and fake them out by making it obvious that I'm scum to make it seem like I'm not scum.
Do you guys see the holes in this conspiracy theory? Do you all want to take off your tin foil hats for a moment and actually think about this? Why on earth would a scum team go through this much trouble to get someone confo-town completely unnecessarily (and not even confo-town, because there's still the possibility of being an indie)? And again, why would we choose me to out TT, and not the other way around? Before today, there was hardly any suspicion on TT, but plenty on me! You'd think doing it the other way around would be a lot smarter.
If the plan was to make me seem confo-town/non-scum, why would I include all that information about MtC? Why would TT then play this big game when he could just fold up and die and attract zero attention to me? This is beyond high risk and nets ZERO ADDITIONAL REWARD. There is a smarter, better plan out there for this kind of tactic.
To want to lynch me just because I'm not confo-town isn't logical, none of us are confo-town. To randomly claim I may be an indie without evidence to suggest to that is just silly. Anybody could be an indie right now.
Basically, what I'm trying to say here is for you all to step back and reanalyze your arguments towards me. In fact, I challenge you to do so. Articulating the logic of your argument is important because it's important to realize that you actually can prove to yourself what you believe. It's also important so that your arguments can be responded to and potentially refuted.
Take off the tin foil hats and realize that you're being played by TT. The logic doesn't add up. You're all smart players. Think for yourself and think through the chain of events of today and come up with your conclusions once more. If your argument is that it's all reverse psychology, then re-read this post and realize that there is a far greater chance that it isn't.
