But if Mordacazir is town, what would be their motive for pushing Jplap's lynch? It's true that Jplap's flip would give us less information, but besides that, why redirect the votes when a mislynch is about to happen anyway? Mord has been a much more active player compared to Jplap and his flip would make a lot of us look bad including me. So Mord being a loyalist doesn't quite add up in this situation. I think it makes more sense that he is a scumbuddy. The logical explanation don't you think?
Because as I said, jplap was the easiest lynch to push. scattered mind already dismissed the case on mord as wifom and had already stated previously, before I started looking into mord, that he thought jplap slipped. It would look bad for him to suddenly go back on all that and support a mord lynch, so he and Mariano concocted the jplap case, knowing full well that Drac would go for it. That's a minimum of three votes right there (four with Drac's double vote), and with it being five to lynch (I guess it was five?), all they needed was one other townie to vote for him and jplap was died.
The smoking gun is the fact that Mariano posted the case on jplap and not scattered mind, who had been trying to get jplap lynched almost as much as Drac was (but Drac's reasoning was a gut read, whereas sm's was based on a post jplap made). It was going to be bullshit either way, but their idea was that it would have more credibility coming from someone who was basically flying under the radar as opposed to all-but-confirmed scum. I had no strong read on him one way or the other, and I don't think anyone else did, either.
Right now I think mord is town, based solely on the fact that Mariano
immediately jumped on his wagon at the start of the day. Lemme explain.
Assume mord is scum. I post that I'm going to put up a case on him. Scum obviously doesn't want this to happen - it's getting to the late game and every scum lynch sets their win condition back a day. So they push jplap, knowing it's a safe lynch. Then they night kill and bring themselves one day closer to victory. There is no reason to go after mord because, if he's scum, they need all the numbers they can get. Bussing him for the town credit isn't worth it because scattered mind is basically confirmed scum due to his behavior. They could have gone in on Nick just as easily and saved their teammate.
Now assume mord is town. I post that I'm going to put up a case on him. The safer play would have been to let me post the case and then lynch mord; if anyone looks bad for his town flip, it'd be me, since I started the wagon. But instead of doing that, they went for scattered mind's play of lynching jplap with Mariano as their voice, with the idea that they could just lynch mord the next day using my case. After all, it should be another easy lynch, I've been talking up his lynch for like two days now and I'm not gonna just give up on my own lynch wagon, right?
The motives behind Mariano's vote on mord become a lot clearer with this in mind, and that's why I'm sure he's scum alongside scattered mind.
But we still don't know if we're dealing with four scum or five. It's irrelevant at this point because scattered mind and Mariano are
guaranteed in cahoots with one another, and mord's play is scummy enough that if for some reason everything I've assumed about him was wrong and he really is scum, we just lynch him day 8 and win then.
MJ