I always wonder whats the average and median number of basic Pokemon people play in their decks. I remember back in those days when Pokemon TCG was new everyone had about 12 basics or at least 10. Nowadays its common to see decks with 6 basics, sometimes even less though I would never play a deck with less than 6 basics.
For those who are curious with the actual statistics, I have done some calculations(using permuations and combinations) with the number of basics and the chances of now even drawing 1 in your opening hand. (correct to two decimal places)
5 basics - 52.54%
6 basics - 45.59%
8 basics - 34.64%
10 basics - 25.86%
12 basics - 19.06%
I always perceived the chance of not getting a basic in the first turn was 45% which was pretty close. I thought the chances of that for 8 basics was 30%, slightly lower than it really is. I played 10 basics for most of my Pokemon TCG career and I'm surprised when I calculated that I wouldn't get a basic 25% of the time, that only happened about 20% of the time by memory. Comparing the increase of basics to the chances of drawing 1 in your first turn, the more you have the rate of increase for the chances of getting one decreases, in other words the second derivative is negative. So its not really worth to have too many basics just for the sake of drawing one on your first turn.
I don't think many people will have more than 12 basics in their decks today but I included the 12+ option for some people who might play an all basics deck especially since Snowpoint Temple was printed.
For those who are curious with the actual statistics, I have done some calculations(using permuations and combinations) with the number of basics and the chances of now even drawing 1 in your opening hand. (correct to two decimal places)
5 basics - 52.54%
6 basics - 45.59%
8 basics - 34.64%
10 basics - 25.86%
12 basics - 19.06%
I always perceived the chance of not getting a basic in the first turn was 45% which was pretty close. I thought the chances of that for 8 basics was 30%, slightly lower than it really is. I played 10 basics for most of my Pokemon TCG career and I'm surprised when I calculated that I wouldn't get a basic 25% of the time, that only happened about 20% of the time by memory. Comparing the increase of basics to the chances of drawing 1 in your first turn, the more you have the rate of increase for the chances of getting one decreases, in other words the second derivative is negative. So its not really worth to have too many basics just for the sake of drawing one on your first turn.
I don't think many people will have more than 12 basics in their decks today but I included the 12+ option for some people who might play an all basics deck especially since Snowpoint Temple was printed.